Oldmoney1897
0xf16e13045cb0dd34df96f5ce67f731dcce31b19f
- Realised P&L
- $-372.96
- Volume
- $68.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.025 | $596.31 | −$248.83 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.011 | $487.02 | −$148.22 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.06at 0.610Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?
- +$40.79at 0.710Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?
- +$2.90at 0.934Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?
- +$0.17at 0.996Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Hampton Pirates (W)
- +$0.09at 0.998Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 09:31 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0359999998 | $195.17 |
| 07-23 09:29 | Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.015 | $635.25 |
| 07-23 09:26 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0359999999 | $650.00 |
| 02-19 08:47 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22? | SELL | 0.71 | $97.27 |
| 02-15 03:45 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22? | BUY | 0.73 | $100.01 |
| 02-15 01:39 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $141.01 |
| 02-14 01:33 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14? | BUY | 0.7099999988 | $100.22 |
| 02-14 01:07 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $172.22 |
| 02-13 12:43 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13? | BUY | 0.6099999999 | $105.16 |
| 02-01 04:23 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.9602739476 | $105.16 |
| 01-31 12:50 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.9337833233 | $102.26 |
| 01-30 15:07 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.3299999978 | $100.00 |
| 01-26 21:32 | Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-26? | BUY | 0.9979999983 | $45.89 |
| 01-26 21:30 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January? | BUY | 0.0095223313 | $10.00 |
| 01-24 04:11 | Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Hampton Pirates (W) | SELL | 0.999 | $55.89 |