0xf1029428dce5e959f8764205767f3cba53899599
- Realised P&L
- $96.67
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $175.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.015 | $72.99 | −$7.00 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No | 0.807 | 0.600 | $51.99 | −$18.01 |
| Panthers vs. Cardinals · Panthers | 0.508 | 0.505 | $49.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.73at 0.580Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$75.82at 0.077Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$27.06at 0.787Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$22.97at 0.773US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
- +$9.43at 0.577US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:49 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.016 | $30.00 |
| 08-03 06:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8071536417 | $70.00 |
| 08-03 06:45 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.015827659 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 01:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.0770118442 | $80.00 |
| 08-02 01:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.07 | $16.67 |
| 08-01 03:51 | Panthers vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.5084218557 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 03:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2099999968 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 03:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $102.96 |
| 07-30 05:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.5299999956 | $55.00 |
| 07-27 05:22 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $49.89 |
| 07-26 04:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7869999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 04:50 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | SELL | 0.6308977168 | $109.42 |
| 07-25 16:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7730451854 | $80.00 |
| 07-25 16:43 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | BUY | 0.5765407534 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 04:41 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.1202507856 | $50.00 |