Dreamwalker
0xf0f6b5ac824ea202d312f46e7f701eeae354f699
- Realised P&L
- $119.0k
- Volume
- $10.45M
- Markets traded
- 2,715
- Open portfolio
- $301.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,715
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pluralis launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.269 | 0.580 | $82.44 | +$44.23 |
| Will Catena launch a token by September 30, 2027? · No | 0.299 | 0.455 | $76.54 | +$26.29 |
| Will Decibel launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.517 | 0.355 | $42.60 | −$19.40 |
| Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.150 | $30.00 | −$36.00 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.115 | $23.00 | −$3.00 |
| Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.705 | $20.87 | −$0.44 |
| Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.482 | 0.540 | $16.20 | +$1.75 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? · No | 0.103 | 0.020 | $10.00 | −$41.74 |
| Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance · Górnik Zabrze | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.4kat 0.188Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
- +$5.6kat 0.015Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?
- +$4.9kat 0.010Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5
- +$4.5kat 0.023Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
- +$4.4kat 0.060Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 05:16 | Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? | SELL | 0.34304 | $17.15 |
| 07-28 05:15 | Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $29.37 |
| 07-27 15:51 | Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 07-27 12:59 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | BUY | 0.2219391509 | $47.05 |
| 07-22 06:58 | Will Ambient launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.46 | $21.83 |
| 07-21 10:34 | Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.37 | $4.45 |
| 07-21 10:34 | Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 07-21 10:34 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.31 |
| 07-21 10:34 | Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.78 | $2.38 |
| 07-21 10:33 | Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.94 |
| 07-21 10:33 | Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.5 | $0.27 |
| 07-20 17:31 | Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.35 | $202.31 |
| 07-20 17:28 | Felix Protocol FDV above $5M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $79.45 |
| 07-20 17:15 | Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $346.20 |
| 07-20 17:14 | Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.39 |