PolyBot

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Traders

WindFlare

0xf075286c26b8cfd036581b5dc949b2d2dd154bb7

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$955.9k
Markets traded
1,312
Open portfolio
$8.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,312
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 5? · No0.9900.987$1.0k$3.71
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 5? · No0.9800.937$1.0k$46.07
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 5? · No0.9980.999$1.0k+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on August 5? · No0.9980.999$1.0k+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 5? · No0.9980.999$998.50+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 5? · No0.9980.996$997.49$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 5? · No0.9900.926$935.86$64.14
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 4? · No0.9970.997$877.13+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on August 5? · No0.9970.998$216.74+$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 5? · No0.9980.999$54.72+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 5? · No0.9980.999$11.86+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 5? · No0.9980.999$6.97+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 5? · No0.9980.999$6.73+$0.00
XRP Up or Down - July 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down0.9300.000$0.00$2.79
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on July 21? · No0.9810.000$0.00$2.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 22:51Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 5?BUY0.998$494.22
08-04 22:05Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 5?BUY0.998$6.73
08-04 17:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on August 5?BUY0.998$1000.00
08-04 17:59Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 5?BUY0.998$6.97
08-04 17:34Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 5?BUY0.998$99.60
08-04 17:23Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 5?BUY0.998$54.69
08-04 12:36Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 75°F or below on August 4?BUY0.9972741789$1.1k
08-04 12:10Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 4?BUY0.998$70.93
08-04 07:21Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 5?BUY0.998$1000.00
08-04 06:11Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on August 5?BUY0.998$177.64
08-04 02:44Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 5?BUY0.998$21.77
08-03 23:03Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 104-105°F on August 3?BUY0.998$5.79
08-03 22:15Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 3?BUY0.998$39.92
08-03 16:59Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 4?BUY0.998$184.63
08-03 16:34Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 88°F or higher on August 3?BUY0.998$105.90