dusannikolic11
0xefdaf52d33a26e777a4cfe1279868a53dd02a176
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $95.8k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.831 | 0.845 | $3.0k | +$49.25 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 27? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 14? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,100 March 9-15? · No | 0.389 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$345.06 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 8? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $1,700 June 29-July 5? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 10? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.754Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 15-21?
- +$647.20at 0.844Will Ethereum reach $3,600 January 12-18?
- +$597.41at 0.770Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 13-19?
- +$569.77at 0.860Will Ethereum reach $2,600 February 2-8?
- +$562.44at 0.757Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 22-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 14:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.8313539192 | $3.0k |
| 06-30 12:10 | Will Ethereum reach $1,700 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.7796881247 | $2.0k |
| 06-22 21:32 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 22-28? | BUY | 0.8921277082 | $3.0k |
| 06-08 23:15 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.7k |
| 06-02 13:02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.7695895522 | $1.5k |
| 05-13 14:30 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17? | BUY | 0.8097055616 | $2.2k |
| 04-22 03:27 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26? | BUY | 0.8712871287 | $2.9k |
| 04-14 02:43 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.7699999999 | $1.9k |
| 04-06 17:48 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 April 6-12? | BUY | 0.8884876805 | $2.3k |
| 03-16 15:49 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 March 16-22? | BUY | 0.8474474473 | $493.84 |
| 03-16 15:42 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 March 16-22? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.5k |
| 03-12 15:14 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on March 12? | BUY | 0.3090000008 | $68.40 |
| 03-12 15:14 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.3890000013 | $340.11 |
| 03-02 16:04 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 2-8? | BUY | 0.8394221283 | $1.5k |
| 02-25 17:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 February 23-March 1? | SELL | 0.22 | $183.56 |