Derdess
0xefaa8d7af61fd94336e427469e4b802fef1e0af8
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $65.3k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $82.49
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? · Yes | 0.978 | 0.975 | $50.38 | −$0.15 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · Yes | 0.690 | 1.000 | $32.06 | +$9.94 |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.789 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.14 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.60 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.1k |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance · Brazil | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.580Pirates vs. Orioles
- +$1.7kat 0.520Vikings vs. Bears
- +$1.6kat 0.606Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?
- +$1.0kat 0.360Nationals vs. Phillies
- +$640.00at 0.360Suns vs. Hornets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 12:22 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.69 | $22.12 |
| 07-01 21:50 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.58 | $446.61 |
| 07-01 11:53 | Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? | BUY | 0.986 | $9.86 |
| 07-01 11:52 | Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? | BUY | 0.976 | $40.67 |
| 02-05 02:46 | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.789 | $10.14 |
| 11-24 11:27 | US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26? | BUY | 0.89 | $9.02 |
| 11-01 01:05 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.054 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 21:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $7.65 |
| 09-09 13:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 09-08 13:16 | Will Belarus win on 2025-09-08? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-07 21:24 | Athletics vs. Angels | BUY | 0.17 | $20.06 |
| 09-07 20:49 | Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.39 | $3.51 |
| 09-07 20:35 | Giants vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.25 | $9.40 |
| 09-07 20:34 | Giants vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.25 | $59.05 |
| 09-07 20:22 | Texans vs. Rams | BUY | 0.6 | $120.00 |