PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Derdess

0xefaa8d7af61fd94336e427469e4b802fef1e0af8

Realised P&L
$2.8k
Volume
$65.3k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$82.49

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? · Yes0.9780.975$50.38$0.15
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · Yes0.6901.000$32.06+$9.94
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7890.000$0.00$10.14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$10.60
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07? · No0.5800.000$0.00$4.1k
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance · Brazil0.7000.000$0.00$1.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 12:22Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.69$22.12
07-01 21:50Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.58$446.61
07-01 11:53Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?BUY0.986$9.86
07-01 11:52Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?BUY0.976$40.67
02-05 02:46Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.789$10.14
11-24 11:27US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?BUY0.89$9.02
11-01 01:05Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.054$10.00
09-11 21:51Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.51$7.65
09-09 13:06Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?BUY0.989$9.89
09-08 13:16Will Belarus win on 2025-09-08?BUY0.9$9.00
09-07 21:24Athletics vs. AngelsBUY0.17$20.06
09-07 20:49Red Sox vs. DiamondbacksBUY0.39$3.51
09-07 20:35Giants vs. CardinalsBUY0.25$9.40
09-07 20:34Giants vs. CardinalsBUY0.25$59.05
09-07 20:22Texans vs. RamsBUY0.6$120.00