PythiaSnr
0xef98c81d560325c8a57b9f63adc8ba5cda78b586
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $2.15M
- Markets traded
- 17,267
- Open portfolio
- $102.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17,267
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.40at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 17?
- +$49.00at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 18?
- +$38.80at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 19?
- +$33.95at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on May 19?
- +$26.78at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 21:23 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.20 |
| 08-03 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.40 |
| 08-03 19:42 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.2094181818 | $11.52 |
| 08-03 18:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 08-03 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.24 |
| 08-03 17:12 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.06 |
| 08-03 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.0480981362 | $1.26 |
| 08-03 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.0564181818 | $3.10 |
| 08-03 13:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 08-03 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.65 |
| 08-03 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.027515528 | $1.33 |
| 08-03 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 08-03 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.00 |