PolyBot

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Traders

0xef973739c7a72fbc698135a820c948252d52b8fc

Realised P&L
$-780.02
Volume
$43.4k
Markets traded
163
Open portfolio
$346.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded163
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.1821.000$181.27+$148.24
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8430.865$29.60+$0.76
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.8421.000$23.49+$3.72
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? · No0.1750.310$16.74+$7.30
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9401.000$15.39+$0.92
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · No0.6961.000$14.89+$4.53
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.7560.815$14.85+$1.07
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.6751.000$13.35+$4.34
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? · Yes0.4101.000$11.71+$6.91
Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? · No0.8111.000$5.91+$1.12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? · No0.7501.000$5.30+$1.32
Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.9001.000$5.07+$0.51
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9001.000$4.71+$0.47
Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.8000.720$3.68$0.41
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$3.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-26 17:33Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.92$0.09
03-26 15:10Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.6699998944$4.82
03-26 14:56Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?SELL0.65$1.09
03-26 09:22Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.74$0.79
03-26 02:04Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.58$0.06
03-26 01:33Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL0.84$1.09
03-26 01:33Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL0.84$0.49
03-26 01:33Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL0.84$0.73
03-26 01:33Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL0.84$0.26
03-25 19:35Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.6$0.06
03-25 18:23Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL0.83$0.61
03-25 06:39Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.72$6.75
03-25 06:34Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?SELL0.14$4.15
03-25 06:18Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?SELL0.13$0.14
03-25 06:16Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?SELL0.13$0.02