0xef973739c7a72fbc698135a820c948252d52b8fc
- Realised P&L
- $-780.02
- Volume
- $43.4k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $346.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.36at 0.384Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$85.15at 0.484Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$49.21at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1PM ET
- +$44.34at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
- +$38.13at 0.432Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 17:33 | Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.09 |
| 03-26 15:10 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.6699998944 | $4.82 |
| 03-26 14:56 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.09 |
| 03-26 09:22 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.79 |
| 03-26 02:04 | Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $0.06 |
| 03-26 01:33 | Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.09 |
| 03-26 01:33 | Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.49 |
| 03-26 01:33 | Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.73 |
| 03-26 01:33 | Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.26 |
| 03-25 19:35 | Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $0.06 |
| 03-25 18:23 | Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.61 |
| 03-25 06:39 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.72 | $6.75 |
| 03-25 06:34 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.15 |
| 03-25 06:18 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.14 |
| 03-25 06:16 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.02 |