0xee1DC4f1147eB50CbDa496153f5A4536cfb3505A-1779394881582
0xee1dc4f1147eb50cbda496153f5a4536cfb3505a
- Realised P&L
- $119.35
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $13.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.80at 0.400Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?
- +$81.16at 0.270Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
- +$7.51at 0.378Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
- +$-1.89at 0.370Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$-2.18at 0.390Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 13:08 | Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.1386138397 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 16:28 | Will Monty Fritts win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.0959999833 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 02:29 | Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | BUY | 0.1601129488 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 23:51 | Will Nito Abreu win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.0295566446 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 23:27 | Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | BUY | 0.0989707047 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 22:51 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.1243478261 | $2.86 |
| 07-19 22:46 | Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.1673684211 | $3.18 |
| 07-19 07:48 | Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 18:15 | Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.0910481463 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 13:47 | Will John Rodgers win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.0513261873 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 06:49 | Will Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? | BUY | 0.139 | $1.39 |
| 07-17 15:25 | Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.0562788325 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 15:23 | Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.094 | $4.03 |
| 07-17 15:05 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.1089999821 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 11:05 | Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.0285 | $1.43 |