PassCap
0xee12a58117b2caa8e2bd37bc36ccbf6e3bc8a5f4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $54.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.580 | $29.59 | +$4.59 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.275 | $25.94 | −$24.06 |
| Will Akhmat Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections? · Yes | 0.926 | 0.008 | $0.05 | −$5.32 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $320 on August 4? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on August 4? · No | 0.373 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 4? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on August 4? · Yes | 0.305 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.14at 0.678Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
- +$16.95at 0.590Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$8.14at 0.860US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$5.00at 0.750Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$5.00at 0.360Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:10 | Will Trump praise Kevin Warsh in August? | SELL | 0.5208532239 | $48.23 |
| 08-04 03:53 | Will Trump praise Kevin Warsh in August? | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 00:44 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 4? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 00:38 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $320 on August 4? | BUY | 0.5299999936 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 00:30 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on August 4? | BUY | 0.3046874917 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 00:27 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on August 4? | BUY | 0.373493962 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 14:13 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 00:17 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999916 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 23:39 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $21.69 |
| 08-02 23:39 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.4778400627 | $24.38 |
| 08-02 23:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999916 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 23:30 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999936 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 08:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.0208060662 | $2.26 |
| 08-02 08:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4595220948 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 07:33 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.2751385513 | $11.32 |