PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xEde0E430Fb36C744632d7a06caA010F552909f81-1778253775442

0xede0e430fb36c744632d7a06caa010f552909f81

Realised P&L
$-336.85
Volume
$63.2k
Markets traded
431
Open portfolio
$74.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded431
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.1250.122$31.17$0.83
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.1400.105$26.25$8.75
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No0.2700.220$6.52$1.48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1280.506$3.96+$2.96
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0030.002$0.92$1.08
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0300.009$0.60$1.40
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0090.005$0.56$0.44
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0050.003$0.53$0.47
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0060.002$0.47$1.53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0920.035$0.38$0.62
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0040.002$0.38$0.62
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.002$0.38$0.63
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0040.002$0.36$0.64
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0050.002$0.31$0.69
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0050.002$0.30$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 16:33Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.95$5.00
08-03 16:33Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.988999999$5.00
08-03 16:00Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.14$35.00
08-03 15:59Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.2699999811$8.00
08-03 15:59Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.002$1.00
08-03 15:58Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.132196554$30.00
07-28 06:50Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY0.1199998992$1.00
07-28 06:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETSELL0.32$6.10
07-28 06:46Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETBUY0.2621358847$5.00
07-28 06:43Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.1199998992$1.00
07-28 06:42Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.3699998631$1.00
07-28 06:39Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.19$1.76
07-25 10:17Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.005$0.55
07-22 11:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETSELL0.42$1.05
07-22 11:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.4$1.00