Dryvon
0xed87a6f732d5bce1a3917247c710675aec7e35f2
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $91.0k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.046 | $1.1k | +$300.80 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.093 | $959.82 | +$586.34 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.407 | 0.480 | $190.91 | +$28.95 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? · Yes | 0.553 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$93.94 |
| Ladislav Krejčí: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.60 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.29 |
| Patrik Schick: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.03 |
| Adam Hložek: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.86at 0.650Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$97.11at 0.710Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$94.02at 0.507Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- +$89.99at 0.110Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?
- +$86.74at 0.390Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 09:40 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $44.96 |
| 06-18 16:05 | Patrik Schick: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4 | $4.03 |
| 06-16 15:13 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $57.50 |
| 05-31 18:34 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? | BUY | 0.5527287396 | $93.94 |
| 05-27 11:11 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0329999998 | $150.00 |
| 05-21 08:57 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? | SELL | 0.040745 | $8.15 |
| 04-24 03:34 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 04-21 21:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 04-21 21:28 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.4570133333 | $68.55 |
| 04-19 22:37 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.039 | $47.58 |
| 04-19 03:26 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.038 | $76.00 |
| 04-12 02:25 | UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $544.43 |
| 04-12 02:20 | UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $55.29 |
| 04-11 18:52 | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.26 | $12.13 |
| 04-06 22:29 | UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.54 | $105.02 |