PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

feleks

0xed626197c7c1722baeb91e0b5f3110c1e956fdaa

Realised P&L
$22.44
Volume
$465.46
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$120.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out in 2025? · No0.9201.000$48.91+$3.91
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August? · No0.7501.000$20.00+$5.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.4301.000$20.00+$11.40
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? · Yes0.3100.355$11.45+$1.45
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? · No0.5801.000$10.00+$4.20
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? · No0.7901.000$10.00+$2.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $117K on July 18? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$1.28
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$1.03
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$2.10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on August 4? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$1.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 18? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.10
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August? · No0.7880.000$0.00$7.88
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$3.15
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August? · No0.4900.000$0.00$9.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 20:03Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
09-07 20:20Xi Jinping out before October?SELL0.987$5.07
08-10 13:15Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.79$7.90
08-10 13:15Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.58$5.80
08-10 13:12Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?BUY0.75$15.00
08-10 13:12Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?BUY0.49$9.80
08-07 21:21Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?BUY0.586$11.72
07-29 21:43Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on August 4?BUY0.15$1.50
07-29 21:43Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on August 4?BUY0.19$1.90
07-29 08:47Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?BUY0.023$1.03
07-19 11:39Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?BUY0.85$4.25
07-19 11:36Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?BUY0.21$2.10
07-16 15:46Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?BUY0.45$3.15
07-15 22:59Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?BUY0.88$35.20
07-15 21:31Xi Jinping out before October?BUY0.972$5.00