PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xed34718777373e03d347c2592c2db7a43da20f3c

Realised P&L
$6.94
Volume
$837.22
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$8.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 5? · Yes0.2200.245$2.09+$0.21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 4? · Yes0.0530.025$1.60$1.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4? · Yes0.2300.220$1.26$0.06
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 7? · Yes0.0600.075$1.25+$0.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6? · Yes0.2200.235$1.07+$0.07
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 6? · Yes0.0800.070$0.88$0.13
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 5? · Yes0.0640.038$0.60$0.40
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$2.02
Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$1.96
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during announcement on Freedom Haulers? · Yes0.3550.000$0.00$3.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 31? · No0.5200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Marco Rubio say "NATO" during Fox News: My View appearance? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump say "Autonomous" or "Self Driving" during announcement on Freedom Haulers? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump say "Putin" during Fox & Friends appearance? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Marco Rubio say "Ceasefire" during Fox News: My View appearance? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 20:51Will Marco Rubio say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Fox News: My View appearance?BUY0.7199999559$1.96
08-01 18:50Will Marco Rubio say "Venezuela" or "Maduro" during Fox News: My View appearance?BUY0.64$1.00
08-01 16:45Will Marco Rubio say "Ceasefire" during Fox News: My View appearance?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
08-01 16:45Will Marco Rubio say "NATO" during Fox News: My View appearance?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
08-01 14:42Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 6?BUY0.08$1.00
08-01 14:41Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
08-01 14:23Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 4?BUY0.0409999622$1.00
08-01 14:22Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4?BUY0.23$1.31
08-01 14:12Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 5?BUY0.064$1.00
08-01 14:11Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 5?BUY0.2199999228$1.88
07-31 20:51Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 4?BUY0.0609999609$1.40
07-31 16:29Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?SELL0.49$1.36
07-31 16:19Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during cabinet meeting?SELL0.5$2.00
07-31 15:57Will Trump say "Putin" during cabinet meeting?SELL0.03$0.06
07-31 15:28Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.089999919$1.00