aleksagrobar03
0xed0de403dd6381379d5c3886d3b49626e8f48c1a
- Realised P&L
- $-55.45
- Volume
- $626.01
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $23.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.790 | $23.29 | +$0.29 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.18at 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$5.00at 0.500FC Bayern Munchen vs. BC Dubai
- +$1.76at 0.740Thunder vs. Magic
- +$0.28at 0.940Pistons vs. Wizards
- +$0.08at 0.930Pacers vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 15:33 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.0091720039 | $0.38 |
| 06-30 17:50 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1212723451 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 17:31 | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0414524038 | $5.61 |
| 04-06 16:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $9.35 |
| 04-06 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $9.29 |
| 03-31 21:19 | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2510884908 | $34.00 |
| 03-31 21:13 | Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? | BUY | 0.779999998 | $23.00 |
| 03-25 23:48 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-03-28? | SELL | 0.29 | $9.41 |
| 03-25 23:40 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-03-28? | BUY | 0.3081786492 | $10.00 |
| 03-19 02:22 | Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 03-19 02:22 | Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 03-19 02:08 | Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 03-19 01:09 | FC Bayern Munchen vs. BC Dubai | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 03-18 18:04 | FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Draw at halftime? | SELL | 0.1018887908 | $2.31 |
| 03-18 17:58 | FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.2099999713 | $4.76 |