wash.
0xec9efcb1a7456d01d4684a78564a737001e224de
- Realised P&L
- $338.91
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.391 | 0.405 | $5.7k | +$198.58 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.575 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · No | 0.340 | 0.325 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No | 0.093 | 0.065 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 07:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $500.07 |
| 08-02 06:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 06:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.0k |
| 07-31 16:18 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0932835821 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 15:23 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |