numberonejj
0xec8706d2319b1637022ab855cff5dd61a0a1e633
- Realised P&L
- $-442.19
- Volume
- $63.6k
- Markets traded
- 633
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded633
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.62at 0.511XRP Up or Down - January 18, 11AM ET
- +$46.16at 0.372Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
- +$35.52at 0.520Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
- +$25.88at 0.783US forces enter Iran by March 14?
- +$25.78at 0.793Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-20 10:13 | Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.38 |
| 03-20 07:10 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.39 | $2.34 |
| 03-20 06:50 | Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 03-20 06:17 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.26 | $10.66 |
| 03-18 23:00 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.989 | $43.52 |
| 03-18 19:52 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | SELL | 0.36 | $11.88 |
| 03-18 08:15 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3174285714 | $2.22 |
| 03-18 02:28 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SELL | 0.46 | $11.50 |
| 03-18 01:20 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $10.80 |
| 03-17 21:13 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.15 | $4.95 |
| 03-16 22:36 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.31 | $13.64 |
| 03-16 20:55 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | SELL | 0.0962222222 | $2.60 |
| 03-16 20:26 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $15.84 |
| 03-16 11:27 | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.66 | $7.26 |
| 03-16 07:59 | Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | SELL | 0.21 | $7.77 |