PolyBot

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Traders

ksdfjoih09240

0xec47215b619a6704bd6179c7c4fdaca21ef70c22

Realised P&L
$178.92
Volume
$96.9k
Markets traded
971
Open portfolio
$21.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded971
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.5800.410$10.80$4.49
Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? · No0.9801.000$5.00+$0.10
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · No0.8600.465$4.73$4.02
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.135$0.89$4.24
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? · No0.5500.015$0.30$10.30
Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0900.005$0.11$1.71
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 10? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$19.46
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 28? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$0.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00$8.57
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 10? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$15.09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 12? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$51.95
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 12? · Yes0.1210.000$0.00$19.94
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$3.20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$7.33
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 1? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$1.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 13:17Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?SELL0.91$2.38
07-20 13:17Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?SELL0.65$1.27
07-20 13:17Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.997$4.99
07-20 13:17Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.632$3.16
07-20 13:17Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?SELL0.93$4.65
07-20 13:17Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?SELL0.34$1.70
07-20 13:17Will SpaceXAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?SELL0.998$4.99
07-20 13:17Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?SELL0.998$4.99
07-20 13:17Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL0.993$4.96
07-20 13:17Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.38$1.90
07-20 13:17Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?SELL0.16$0.80
07-20 13:17Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?SELL0.06$0.30
07-20 13:17Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.992$4.96
07-20 13:17Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?SELL0.334$1.67
07-20 13:17Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$3.75