ksdfjoih09240
0xec47215b619a6704bd6179c7c4fdaca21ef70c22
- Realised P&L
- $178.92
- Volume
- $96.9k
- Markets traded
- 971
- Open portfolio
- $21.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded971
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$337.03at 0.055Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?
- +$336.66at 0.017Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13?
- +$248.36at 0.035Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?
- +$209.17at 0.089Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 29?
- +$171.29at 0.158Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 13:17 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.38 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.27 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.632 | $3.16 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Will SpaceXAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.993 | $4.96 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.334 | $1.67 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.75 |