Stan69
0xec2efdf1e9cb6c3131b43cdd687a6908109bc226
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $178.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch · Yes | 0.400 | 0.485 | $145.12 | +$25.43 |
| Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch · Yes | 0.250 | 0.330 | $33.00 | +$8.00 |
| Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 · paiN | 0.201 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.05 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
| No airdrop in 2025? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$101.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.903 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$117.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.00at 0.750Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$10.82at 0.649Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$10.35at 0.310France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$-0.76at 0.063Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?
- +$-1.25at 0.035Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 09:14 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 20:47 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.31 | $4.65 |
| 07-18 20:47 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.7 | $9.80 |
| 06-06 17:39 | Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-06 17:39 | Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 06-06 17:39 | Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-06 11:26 | Will Bamberg Baskets win Germany BBL? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.85 |
| 06-06 11:20 | Will Bamberg Baskets win Germany BBL? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.75 |
| 12-09 19:58 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.44 | $924.00 |
| 12-09 18:01 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3931439929 | $2.2k |
| 11-24 17:56 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.069 | $34.50 |
| 11-24 17:37 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0831402839 | $26.36 |
| 11-24 14:52 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1161317365 | $19.39 |
| 11-24 11:50 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.094 | $9.40 |
| 11-24 08:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November? | SELL | 0.208 | $4.16 |