Juanjo13
0xec156a2f830568f06cd0dbb361a61bb0ba36fa1b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.45
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $69.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? · Yes | 0.722 | 0.580 | $58.00 | −$14.20 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.465 | $9.30 | −$0.30 |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.805 | $2.42 | +$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.16at 0.947Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$0.60at 0.630Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.40at 0.610Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
- +$0.35at 0.992Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1?
- +$0.28at 0.989Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.82 |
| 08-01 08:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $69.79 |
| 08-01 08:20 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 08-01 08:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 07-31 20:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 07-31 06:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 07-28 06:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $29.88 |
| 07-27 10:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.91 |
| 07-26 17:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.84 |
| 07-26 07:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26? | BUY | 0.996 | $29.88 |
| 07-24 18:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.989 | $24.73 |
| 07-23 17:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.996 | $24.90 |
| 07-22 18:51 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 07-21 17:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.996 | $8.96 |
| 07-20 19:22 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |