PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

Kazirg

0xebb16b55eddb92d29b72f76bce1ca1fb83d059b8

Realised P&L
$-1.59
Volume
$14.1k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$1.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? · Yes0.7800.725$1.86$0.14
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year? · No0.8700.000$0.00$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin above $115,000 on August 8? · No0.7200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 20:36Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?BUY0.78$2.00
07-29 20:35Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?SELL0.53$0.84
06-30 20:05Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.63$1.00
05-07 19:27Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
04-15 18:56Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.64$2.00
04-15 18:55Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?SELL0.76$1.03
04-15 18:55Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?SELL0.85$1.02
03-05 19:37Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
02-26 19:15Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?BUY0.8299992198$1.00
02-19 19:39Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.6899997205$2.00
02-19 19:38Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?SELL0.93$1.24
02-19 19:38Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?SELL0.74$1.87
01-11 20:14Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?BUY0.75$1.00
01-11 20:14Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?BUY0.7899996998$2.00
12-06 20:56Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?BUY0.8599999656$2.00