wtusk
0xeb4998eda0b9d7ffb6ba1d760e325bd3d44dda64
- Realised P&L
- $580.24
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 580
- Open portfolio
- $6.06
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded580
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.38at 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$102.22at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
- +$70.94at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
- +$66.60at 0.678Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$66.36at 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 12:15 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9929998406 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 10:26 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.985999999 | $2.00 |
| 07-13 09:37 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 09:13 | Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? | BUY | 0.9869999956 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 15:34 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15? | BUY | 0.9129999717 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 07:41 | GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599996544 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 11:45 | Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | BUY | 0.979999657 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 02:30 | Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | BUY | 0.979999657 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 03:14 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.9759999922 | $2.00 |
| 06-23 01:20 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.9719999981 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 08:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.9299997768 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 09:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9569995737 | $2.00 |
| 06-11 15:04 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.8689997619 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 01:34 | Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.975 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 07:33 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | BUY | 0.985999999 | $2.00 |