0xEAA5f56160A06BB2B621976d10ccb9f99089Ac3F-1755803705480
0xeaa5f56160a06bb2b621976d10ccb9f99089ac3f
- Realised P&L
- $-139.79
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $531.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.925 | $502.72 | +$2.72 |
| Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.118 | $19.84 | +$8.24 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.043 | $8.50 | −$9.50 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.80 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.00 |
| Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December? · No | 0.736 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Golden Knights vs. Blues · Golden Knights | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$369.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$175.49at 0.825Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$77.78at 0.720US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$31.00at 0.938Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
- +$30.42at 0.968Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
- +$26.67at 0.750US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 20:53 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999995 | $500.00 |
| 04-08 19:52 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.32 | $15.00 |
| 03-16 22:42 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 03-15 21:46 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $200.00 |
| 03-15 21:40 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8299999997 | $369.00 |
| 02-12 05:34 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 02-10 21:33 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.938 | $163.12 |
| 01-17 23:22 | Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 01-16 09:22 | Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $164.00 |
| 01-15 14:40 | Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $71.68 |
| 01-03 20:21 | Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $415.00 |
| 01-02 22:48 | Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |
| 01-02 22:30 | Golden Knights vs. Blues | BUY | 0.1899999815 | $8.00 |
| 01-02 22:25 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.26 | $7.80 |
| 01-02 22:15 | Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0733891091 | $5.00 |