hgmgm
0xea82b71e0f26b98a9a7aa682f5428459ee3cdd43
- Realised P&L
- $-130.95
- Volume
- $52.6k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $33.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.929 | 0.884 | $20.95 | −$1.05 |
| Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.485 | $12.53 | −$10.47 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.00 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.50at 0.749Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.57at 0.740Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?
- +$4.39at 0.820Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- +$3.13at 0.947Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$2.67at 0.959Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 01:50 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $104.00 |
| 06-09 01:50 | Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $30.69 |
| 06-09 01:50 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $73.66 |
| 06-03 07:53 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9589999937 | $71.00 |
| 06-03 07:53 | Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999961 | $23.00 |
| 06-03 07:51 | Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999778 | $30.00 |
| 05-27 09:28 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.9469999935 | $56.00 |
| 05-19 08:06 | Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7489999936 | $16.40 |
| 05-19 08:06 | Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $18.00 |
| 05-19 08:05 | Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9420514407 | $32.00 |
| 05-19 08:04 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.996 | $21.29 |
| 05-16 06:09 | Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY | 0.7399999943 | $13.00 |
| 05-16 06:09 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY | 0.2 | $9.00 |
| 05-16 06:09 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9289999872 | $22.00 |
| 05-16 06:08 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.8199999934 | $20.00 |