betman77
0xe9caa06ff10762055aca4c9bc81b5519d9f2155e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.30
- Volume
- $48.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $7.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $7.49 | −$2.51 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.36 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.16at 0.615Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$-0.67at 0.015Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-0.67at 0.015Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-1.60at 0.500Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
- +$-3.33at 0.003Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 17:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 07-21 17:25 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.004 | $6.67 |
| 07-21 17:24 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.002 | $6.67 |
| 07-21 17:23 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.014 | $9.33 |
| 07-21 17:23 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.014 | $9.33 |
| 07-21 06:50 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0149999985 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 06:50 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0059999994 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 06:49 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0149999985 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 06:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 19:25 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0029999997 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 19:24 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0020022757 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 22:23 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $8.00 |
| 07-19 22:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $22.36 |
| 07-19 22:06 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9975 | $102.13 |
| 07-19 20:46 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6149999979 | $62.97 |