Megaman
0xe9ca512d82b7bad483b7c4309657e4676b458930
- Realised P&L
- $-18.56
- Volume
- $30.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $7.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Fuentes federally charged? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.035 | $7.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.00at 0.423Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$8.64at 0.560Debate Bingo - 1
- +$6.46at 0.630Debate Bingo - 4
- +$6.20at 0.380Will Kamala say "JD" or "Vance" at debate?
- +$4.43at 0.530Will Trump say "Obama" during the debate?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-27 19:31 | Liverpool wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.9593023246 | $11.00 |
| 03-27 19:31 | Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $11.00 |
| 03-27 19:31 | Will Google have the top AI model on March 31? | BUY | 0.9739999991 | $11.00 |
| 03-27 19:30 | Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 20:05 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6509998388 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 20:05 | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.42299998 | $11.00 |
| 09-10 12:17 | Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $25.00 |
| 09-10 12:16 | Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 12:15 | Will Kamala say "JD" or "Vance" at debate? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 09-10 12:15 | Will Kamala say "DEI" at debate? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 09-10 12:15 | Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 12:15 | Will Kamala say "liar" at debate? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 06-27 17:57 | Debate Bingo - 1 | BUY | 0.5599999817 | $11.00 |
| 06-27 17:57 | Debate Bingo - 5 | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 17:57 | Debate Bingo - 4 | BUY | 0.6299999954 | $11.00 |