PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xe9b5064185c96d09c5e1f60a81850f752a29c7cf

Realised P&L
$-6.08
Volume
$439.00
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$84.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.5970.880$52.80+$17.00
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9740.966$7.72$0.07
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · No0.9620.982$6.87+$0.14
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9240.955$4.77+$0.15
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.940$4.70+$0.25
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.4370.120$1.92$5.08
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · Yes0.1950.065$1.69$3.37
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.5830.306$1.53$1.38
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.3200.280$1.40$0.20
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No0.2040.076$0.77$1.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 14:04Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.81$6.48
06-13 07:47Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.974$7.79
06-01 11:30Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.77$4.62
06-01 11:30Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$4.45
06-01 11:29Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$1.10
06-01 11:29Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.962$6.73
06-01 11:29Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.946$5.68
06-01 11:29Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.924$4.62
06-01 11:28Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.321$2.57
05-22 23:07Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$8.64
04-24 23:30Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.583$2.92
04-24 23:30Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.204$2.04
04-24 23:29Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.796$3.98
04-24 23:29Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.79$15.80
04-24 23:29Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.21$2.31