HSDN
0xe89cf223b8a4ad06ab36ae56b54a54c09242e05d
- Realised P&L
- $-57.34
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $1.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.00at 0.500No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$49.21at 0.500Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$21.00at 0.500Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$12.73at 0.440Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$6.13at 0.620LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-19 17:41 | Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.31 |
| 02-19 17:41 | Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.50 |
| 02-19 17:40 | Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.67 |
| 02-19 17:40 | Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.031 | $2.21 |
| 02-19 17:16 | Will LGD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.25 |
| 02-19 17:15 | Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.11 |
| 02-19 17:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 02-19 17:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 02-19 16:59 | Will Oh My God win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.14 |
| 02-05 03:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.989 | $254.87 |
| 02-05 03:48 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.99 | $255.13 |
| 01-28 00:40 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $55.12 |
| 01-28 00:39 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.18 |
| 01-27 00:54 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.992 | $155.18 |
| 01-27 00:54 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $155.34 |