Nice168
0xe84ebf42e8d9205ba40437f2c3cf620fc3ca8ff4
- Realised P&L
- $-6.48
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 334
- Open portfolio
- $2.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded334
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.06at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$2.43at 0.820Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on August 2?
- +$2.40at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
- +$2.22at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$2.10at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 23:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 17:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on August 5? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 08-04 17:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.00 |
| 08-04 17:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 08-04 17:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 17:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.75 | $0.75 |
| 08-04 17:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.75 | $0.75 |
| 08-04 16:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on August 5? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 08-04 16:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 08-04 16:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 16:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.00 |
| 08-04 16:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.40 |
| 08-04 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.0194767496 | $1.04 |
| 08-04 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? | SELL | 0.56 | $0.56 |
| 08-04 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |