0xe80a8381720281273d5ec47056d70aa0c7fc839c
- Realised P&L
- $-8.96
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $14.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.665 | $9.07 | +$3.07 |
| Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.901 | $4.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will XRP reach $1.20 in August? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.340 | $1.03 | −$0.97 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3? · No | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 3? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.14 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.25at 0.653Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$6.76at 0.280Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 3?
- +$6.14at 0.140Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26?
- +$2.45at 0.380Will Solana reach $100 in May?
- +$1.76at 0.850Will Solana reach $110 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:35 | Will XRP reach $1.20 in August? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 02:02 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August? | BUY | 0.8399998908 | $4.00 |
| 07-09 16:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 10? | BUY | 0.008999994 | $1.50 |
| 07-08 08:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 10? | BUY | 0.025 | $3.00 |
| 07-08 06:11 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 10? | BUY | 0.0589999464 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 16:24 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in July? | BUY | 0.9899998671 | $7.00 |
| 07-03 15:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.1869998876 | $1.14 |
| 07-02 20:50 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 3? | BUY | 0.2799999276 | $2.63 |
| 07-02 19:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3? | BUY | 0.0349502891 | $9.50 |
| 07-02 05:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 04:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? | BUY | 0.0701754386 | $4.00 |
| 06-22 11:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 26? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 11:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 26? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 06-20 17:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 05:07 | Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999795 | $6.00 |