dipwad
0xe70ed1d45d62be9bd5e8660194d474b2ec0db541
- Realised P&L
- $22.12
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 279
- Open portfolio
- $30.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded279
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.20at 0.920Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$58.94at 0.306Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$55.00at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
- +$41.00at 0.736Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
- +$31.66at 0.217Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 18:12 | Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.923 | $18.46 |
| 05-23 18:12 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.949 | $18.98 |
| 05-23 18:12 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 05-13 23:52 | Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.72 | $2.39 |
| 05-13 23:47 | Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.35 |
| 05-13 20:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 05-13 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 05-12 23:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 05-12 23:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 05-12 23:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 05-12 22:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 05-12 22:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 05-12 22:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 05-12 22:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 05-12 22:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |