PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dipwad

0xe70ed1d45d62be9bd5e8660194d474b2ec0db541

Realised P&L
$22.12
Volume
$12.6k
Markets traded
279
Open portfolio
$30.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded279
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? · No0.8800.925$18.50+$0.90
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31? · No0.4000.620$11.72+$4.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.7300.000$0.00$14.60
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$0.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$0.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$22.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up0.7800.000$0.00$7.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.6100.000$0.00$12.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Down0.7300.000$0.00$14.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET · Up0.6950.000$0.00$13.90
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jaqueline Cristian · Jaqueline Cristian0.6500.000$0.00$6.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Down0.8270.000$0.00$12.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00$5.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-23 18:12Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?SELL0.923$18.46
05-23 18:12Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.949$18.98
05-23 18:12Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.75$75.00
05-13 23:52Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?SELL0.72$2.39
05-13 23:47Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?SELL0.82$0.35
05-13 20:42Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.75$7.50
05-13 20:32Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.91$9.10
05-12 23:13Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.11$1.10
05-12 23:08Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.94$9.39
05-12 23:02Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.83$8.30
05-12 22:50Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETBUY0.71$7.10
05-12 22:42Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.77$7.70
05-12 22:34Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.93$9.30
05-12 22:30Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.45$4.50
05-12 22:30Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.4$4.00