ra1n789
0xe6f286ac01dc9677a9d52846f9b363057edb7448
- Realised P&L
- $178.52
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.175 | $935.42 | +$278.78 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.100 | $317.28 | −$60.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-39.45at 0.101Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 17:17 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999963 | $26.00 |
| 07-04 17:16 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999996 | $25.00 |
| 07-03 09:43 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999981 | $53.02 |
| 07-03 09:42 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $60.89 |
| 07-03 09:40 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999949 | $18.98 |
| 07-02 05:57 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1152993981 | $25.37 |
| 07-02 05:57 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $27.41 |
| 07-02 05:56 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1094510283 | $95.70 |
| 07-01 15:14 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 15:13 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 07-01 15:13 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.13 |
| 06-29 18:00 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999975 | $45.25 |
| 06-28 18:17 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.72 |
| 06-28 18:16 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $224.69 |
| 06-28 11:45 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |