Benevento
0xe6d80855059a0d2256b3e6014595a93504fd9d21
- Realised P&L
- $-16.14
- Volume
- $2.62M
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $268.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.980 | 1.000 | $268.23 | +$5.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.780US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
- +$1.9kat 0.652US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.760US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.697Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $263.00 |
| 08-02 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9312812469 | $245.00 |
| 08-02 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.9869046988 | $245.74 |
| 08-02 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9598071029 | $239.00 |
| 08-02 05:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $240.38 |
| 08-01 06:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.9299999999 | $224.00 |
| 08-01 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $223.75 |
| 07-31 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $219.50 |
| 07-31 15:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $219.99 |
| 07-31 10:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $207.00 |
| 07-30 15:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.9597554794 | $199.00 |
| 07-30 14:01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.39 |
| 07-30 12:04 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.9894989877 | $197.50 |
| 07-30 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.9958244336 | $99.77 |
| 07-30 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.9980418779 | $100.00 |