olibillions
0xe6d6287af91d23768d69641f9ae7aa1e840358f0
- Realised P&L
- $897.55
- Volume
- $1.19M
- Markets traded
- 721
- Open portfolio
- $75.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded721
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.20at 0.021Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
- +$32.28at 0.002Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$30.66at 0.007Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
- +$30.52at 0.008Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$30.27at 0.003Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 16:20 | Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 06-15 22:24 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0600342942 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 22:23 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 22:22 | Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.2016626338 | $4.84 |
| 06-15 22:22 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0115083123 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 21:02 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0186274474 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 21:02 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 21:01 | Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0233832142 | $4.80 |
| 06-13 21:01 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 21:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0409999921 | $4.76 |
| 06-13 21:00 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June? | BUY | 0.009120892 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 20:59 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 10:33 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.0063245306 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 10:33 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 22:37 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0370747074 | $4.80 |