PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

olibillions

0xe6d6287af91d23768d69641f9ae7aa1e840358f0

Realised P&L
$897.55
Volume
$1.19M
Markets traded
721
Open portfolio
$75.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded721
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.0520.049$18.49$1.51
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.0500.052$5.25+$0.25
China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes0.0380.030$4.76$1.24
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0360.029$3.97$0.88
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$3.75$1.25
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0090.003$3.33$6.67
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10? · Yes0.1350.090$3.12$1.57
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0130.009$3.04$1.12
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Yes0.0530.031$2.78$2.03
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0650.045$2.77$1.23
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? · Yes0.1610.138$2.57$0.43
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.003$2.50$4.50
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0450.053$2.47+$0.37
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0050.003$2.31$2.67
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.1630.066$1.95$2.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-17 16:20Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6$30.00
06-15 22:24SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? BUY0.0600342942$5.00
06-15 22:23Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?BUY0.002$5.00
06-15 22:22Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY0.2016626338$4.84
06-15 22:22NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0115083123$5.00
06-13 21:02Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0186274474$5.00
06-13 21:02Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
06-13 21:01Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.0233832142$4.80
06-13 21:01US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY0.209999974$5.00
06-13 21:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0409999921$4.76
06-13 21:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?BUY0.009120892$5.00
06-13 20:59Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?BUY0.005$5.00
06-12 10:33Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?BUY0.0063245306$5.00
06-12 10:33Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?BUY0.013$5.00
06-10 22:37Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0370747074$4.80