PolyBot

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Traders

0xe6c8398fe516c30dcb80ada7cde5a2b486ea11a0

Realised P&L
$99.88
Volume
$32.1k
Markets traded
275
Open portfolio
$574.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded275
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? · Yes0.4560.450$98.77$1.23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? · Yes0.5050.495$98.03$1.97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? · Yes0.3030.290$95.69$4.31
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5? · Yes0.4900.445$90.82$9.18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? · Yes0.4090.365$89.11$10.89
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5? · Yes0.3600.365$50.69+$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5? · Yes0.3500.345$49.27$0.73
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 4? · Yes0.5690.001$0.13$149.87
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? · Yes0.4630.001$0.05$49.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:32Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5?BUY0.3499999975$50.00
08-04 17:32Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5?BUY0.3599999977$50.00
08-04 17:31Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.4899999991$100.00
08-04 17:30Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?BUY0.3030599264$100.00
08-04 17:30Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?BUY0.5049504943$100.00
08-04 17:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?BUY0.4095904079$100.00
08-04 17:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?BUY0.4556126626$100.00
08-04 15:48Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.998$51.69
08-04 15:48Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4?SELL0.981$150.91
08-04 15:47Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4?SELL0.999$568.01
08-04 11:44Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4?SELL0.0895092637$25.99
08-04 07:18Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.3282061924$17.00
08-04 07:14Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4?BUY0.325023881$50.00
08-04 07:14Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4?BUY0.4625820303$50.00
08-04 07:13Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.9878911451$118.70