0xE6b0665bA1A53a7C24AA14a8947F652478101Eca-1779268414921
0xe6b0665ba1a53a7c24aa14a8947f652478101eca
- Realised P&L
- $44.94
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 310
- Open portfolio
- $3.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded310
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.075 | $3.75 | +$1.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$1.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.52at 0.034Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 31?
- +$38.10at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 26?
- +$27.70at 0.035Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?
- +$26.21at 0.036Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?
- +$24.62at 0.035Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.06 |
| 08-04 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 08-04 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0134391802 | $1.01 |
| 08-04 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0266144687 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.0509999762 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:28 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0479999779 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0576796049 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 00:43 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.04610207 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0349270734 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 20:33 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0384615385 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0529411525 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.0316205534 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |