PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xE69Fe9A8401b81E57CA0673d1c6561a7B9139040-1769427093836

0xe69fe9a8401b81e57ca0673d1c6561a7b9139040

Realised P&L
$-8.32
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
328
Open portfolio
$52.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded328
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8100.885$10.93+$0.93
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.255$9.10$0.54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.775$8.02$0.36
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? · No0.5100.640$6.06+$1.23
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · No0.8680.937$5.39+$0.40
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.9100.920$5.11+$0.06
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No0.9100.910$4.94+$0.00
Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.0600.044$2.58$0.94
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.86
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) · Washington Nationals0.2300.000$0.00$3.02
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 10? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$8.16
Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? · Yes0.1370.000$0.00$6.01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 11? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$4.51
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 · Over0.4500.000$0.00$6.10
Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs0.8400.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 01:48Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?BUY0.0599999847$3.52
07-25 17:22Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.12$3.15
07-12 11:02Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8679999429$4.99
07-11 19:22Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 11?BUY0.0466696137$4.51
07-10 13:00Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?BUY0.2199999196$1.86
07-10 09:59Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 10?BUY0.0462585034$3.40
07-10 09:34Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?BUY0.1370694613$6.01
07-10 09:09Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.1799999741$4.73
07-10 09:09Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999849$9.64
07-10 00:18Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?BUY0.6299999811$5.00
07-09 23:49Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 10?BUY0.32$8.16
07-09 16:24Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9?BUY0.5799999669$4.91
07-09 14:31Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?BUY0.729999861$4.99
07-09 14:30Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?SELL0.31$2.37
07-09 13:53Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?BUY0.5999999874$9.50