basedblk
0xe67b7f2a09910a875674b5d8f18208fe1e2a3ec6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $34.5k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$336.59at 0.369Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$264.71at 0.850Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
- +$157.95at 0.761Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?
- +$151.11at 0.900Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$115.19at 0.896Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in New Brunswick in the next Canadian Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 23:59 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.8782185134 | $200.00 |
| 05-01 01:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30? | BUY | 0.8862075093 | $400.00 |
| 05-01 01:00 | Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999997 | $250.00 |
| 05-01 00:59 | Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999994 | $150.00 |
| 05-01 00:59 | Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $200.00 |
| 05-01 00:58 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.819999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-01 00:58 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |
| 05-01 00:57 | Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299998589 | $5.00 |
| 04-23 01:48 | Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.89 | $26.52 |
| 04-22 20:01 | Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.8199999995 | $30.00 |
| 04-22 20:00 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | SELL | 0.3662392612 | $314.87 |
| 04-14 22:59 | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $300.00 |
| 03-04 01:38 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.006 | $13.87 |
| 03-03 22:15 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 03-03 00:43 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | BUY | 0.309538291 | $100.00 |