armagedd0n
0xe64fefc3552125df3480e3c20fb55aaafb607d13
- Realised P&L
- $-4.9k
- Volume
- $178.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,976
- Open portfolio
- $162.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,976
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$358.87at 0.406Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$253.83at 0.190UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$241.64at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$195.77at 0.377Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 4AM ET
- +$191.38at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 19:38 | Solana Up or Down - August 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.353179162 | $28.41 |
| 08-02 23:48 | Solana Up or Down - August 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.665275236 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 23:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 20:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999999 | $122.00 |
| 07-30 20:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2845410777 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 08:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6947890818 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 22:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $205.97 |
| 07-28 22:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $7.00 |
| 07-28 22:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.489999998 | $30.00 |
| 07-28 22:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3603375404 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 22:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3879760552 | $30.00 |
| 07-28 22:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2701221125 | $183.82 |
| 07-28 22:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999898 | $16.18 |