PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

armagedd0n

0xe64fefc3552125df3480e3c20fb55aaafb607d13

Realised P&L
$-4.9k
Volume
$178.8k
Markets traded
1,976
Open portfolio
$162.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,976
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1000.075$37.50$12.50
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.130$30.59$9.41
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1900.130$27.39$12.61
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0870.075$25.98$4.02
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0110.011$16.17$0.77
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.2800.135$14.46$15.54
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1700.175$10.29+$0.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4PM ET · Up0.1700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7PM ET · Down0.2360.000$0.00$7.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9AM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00$4.50
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 1PM ET · Up0.4320.000$0.00$17.56
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9AM ET · Up0.3270.000$0.00$26.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9PM ET · Down0.4530.000$0.00$43.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11AM ET · Up0.3060.000$0.00$7.75
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 10AM ET · Up0.2190.000$0.00$4.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 19:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.2599999935$20.00
08-03 19:38Solana Up or Down - August 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.353179162$28.41
08-02 23:48Solana Up or Down - August 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.665275236$30.00
08-02 23:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETBUY0.2799999854$10.00
08-02 23:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETBUY0.5199999813$10.00
07-30 20:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4PM ETBUY0.5699999999$122.00
07-30 20:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.2845410777$100.00
07-30 08:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY0.6947890818$100.00
07-28 22:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSELL0.99$205.97
07-28 22:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.5$7.00
07-28 22:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.489999998$30.00
07-28 22:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.3603375404$20.00
07-28 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.3879760552$30.00
07-28 22:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.2701221125$183.82
07-28 22:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.2899999898$16.18