PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

orneto

0xe5f86dd09b79847d6705df1b98d231f116e7cf02

Realised P&L
$5.92
Volume
$498.28
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$11.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-21 13:42Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?SELL0.002$0.02
06-15 14:32Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.025$0.54
06-09 12:39Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0437367514$1.02
06-08 03:06Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.05$1.00
06-06 04:21Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0819999311$1.00
05-20 17:05Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0223994266$1.00
05-18 22:18Will Neymar play in the World Cup?SELL0.93$1.79
05-18 03:25Will Neymar play in the World Cup?SELL0.79$1.02
05-18 03:11Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.0429999606$1.00
05-17 23:55Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?BUY0.0989999118$1.00
04-07 13:47Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
03-30 02:10Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.16$0.89
03-27 17:12US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?SELL0.39$1.15
03-26 14:50Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0603960434$1.00
03-25 16:40Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1799998704$1.00