Jani-new03
0xe5d2734d9059fe85a63c1936d3599f70669cef4d
- Realised P&L
- $38.49
- Volume
- $174.7k
- Markets traded
- 308
- Open portfolio
- $0.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded308
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Risk" be in the headlines this week? · No | 0.500 | 0.155 | $0.15 | −$0.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$190.00at 0.500Will Russia enter Khatnie by February 28, 2026?
- +$143.82at 0.007Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?
- +$91.46at 0.570Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$73.81at 0.261Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 23?
- +$73.80at 0.262Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:40 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.887 | $199.78 |
| 08-03 02:39 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8879999999 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 03:46 | Will Elon post "Iran" or "Iranian" on X this week? | SELL | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 08-01 18:19 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.885 | $149.83 |
| 08-01 18:17 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8859999998 | $150.00 |
| 08-01 17:40 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.885 | $149.83 |
| 08-01 17:39 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8859999998 | $150.00 |
| 07-31 10:57 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.893 | $199.77 |
| 07-31 10:57 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8939999998 | $200.00 |
| 07-31 10:53 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 07-06 10:35 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.875043802 | $99.89 |
| 07-06 10:34 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.876 | $100.00 |
| 07-06 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.44 |
| 07-03 18:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 07-03 09:31 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.774 | $99.87 |