lium
0xe5c673179a8ec37a5aefc5a7b835c31435e70b43
- Realised P&L
- $71.37
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $51.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.80at 0.470Will NVIDIA dip to $172 in November?
- +$36.65at 0.553Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1AM ET
- +$22.30at 0.554Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?
- +$15.51at 0.260Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$15.50at 0.690Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 12:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 06-23 09:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.221 | $4.42 |
| 06-23 07:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 06-23 07:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 06-23 07:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 06-23 07:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? | SELL | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 04-15 07:08 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 04-15 07:08 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 04-09 04:27 | Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $6.29 |
| 04-09 04:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 04-08 03:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 04-08 03:28 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 04-04 09:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $12.00 |
| 02-05 07:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $14.70 |
| 02-05 06:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1AM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $26.95 |