ISureWinAll
0xe54d29ff5184dc930ba6ccbe59c67a9b1060fea1
- Realised P&L
- $-6.7k
- Volume
- $1.57M
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $373.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.042 | $373.30 | −$1.9k |
| Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) · CA Peñarol | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$971.29at 0.474US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$799.92at 0.640US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$600.00at 0.880US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$424.57at 0.915Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
- +$419.09at 0.580Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 22:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.7k |
| 06-22 03:35 | Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9797517391 | $2.3k |
| 06-20 06:15 | Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $2.3k |
| 06-19 11:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.1k |
| 06-16 16:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? | BUY | 0.9859333333 | $147.89 |
| 06-16 16:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? | BUY | 0.9863559259 | $5.3k |
| 06-08 01:42 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.9k |
| 06-04 14:43 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $9.94 |
| 06-04 12:18 | Iran closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 06-04 06:57 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | SELL | 0.09 | $23.18 |
| 05-31 01:18 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 05-28 14:54 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | BUY | 0.8677712385 | $1.5k |
| 05-28 04:44 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | SELL | 0.0731678306 | $380.31 |
| 05-28 04:43 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | SELL | 0.0859036731 | $180.90 |
| 05-27 11:56 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0143605665 | $10.13 |