ToyaWTF
0xe54cc0e9b2127668de99d6c21f2f4d49d9582c69
- Realised P&L
- $731.88
- Volume
- $120.1k
- Markets traded
- 5,605
- Open portfolio
- $592.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,605
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.95at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?
- +$33.73at 0.342Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 25?
- +$30.17at 0.654Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?
- +$22.48at 0.640Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on May 31?
- +$20.13at 0.663Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.03 |
| 08-04 19:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-04 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 08-04 18:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-04 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 08-04 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.32 |
| 08-04 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 08-04 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.16 |
| 08-04 16:59 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 08-04 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.84 |
| 08-04 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.04 |
| 08-04 16:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-04 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-04 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 08-04 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |