PolyBot

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Traders

0xe4d911b5a4acf6561d100f5068fb10ca4071af28

Realised P&L
$121.34
Volume
$17.5k
Markets traded
566
Open portfolio
$17.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded566
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 07:38Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 5?BUY0.1425143721$4.95
08-04 07:37Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 5?BUY0.42$5.04
08-04 00:11Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 5?BUY0.1156291311$11.64
08-04 00:11Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5?BUY0.4$11.60
08-03 23:09Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 4?SELL0.41$17.22
08-03 23:09Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 4?SELL0.4748387097$14.72
08-03 19:24Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.22$11.88
08-03 19:24Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.48$10.56
08-03 09:26Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 4?BUY0.3836533634$12.09
08-03 09:26Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.23$9.66
08-03 06:49Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.37$8.14
08-03 06:49Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.1922439659$10.50
08-03 00:08Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 4?BUY0.39$10.92
08-03 00:08Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 4?BUY0.15$10.80
08-02 12:20Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.2883026605$11.89