0xe4d911b5a4acf6561d100f5068fb10ca4071af28
- Realised P&L
- $121.34
- Volume
- $17.5k
- Markets traded
- 566
- Open portfolio
- $17.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded566
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.82at 0.135Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 3?
- +$54.50at 0.115Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 23?
- +$41.22at 0.196Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 28?
- +$39.65at 0.205Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?
- +$30.71at 0.170Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1425143721 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 07:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.04 |
| 08-04 00:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1156291311 | $11.64 |
| 08-04 00:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $11.60 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.41 | $17.22 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.4748387097 | $14.72 |
| 08-03 19:24 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.88 |
| 08-03 19:24 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.48 | $10.56 |
| 08-03 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3836533634 | $12.09 |
| 08-03 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.23 | $9.66 |
| 08-03 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $8.14 |
| 08-03 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1922439659 | $10.50 |
| 08-03 00:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.39 | $10.92 |
| 08-03 00:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.15 | $10.80 |
| 08-02 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2883026605 | $11.89 |