Paglietini
0xe48713cf81a1d26d564e70a0a9e2c5344439aca6
- Realised P&L
- $-8.7k
- Volume
- $631.6k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $16.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.2kat 0.930US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
- +$3.4kat 0.730US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
- +$2.1kat 0.857US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.896Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?
- +$1.3kat 0.914US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 16:07 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.6512592872 | $51.72 |
| 07-31 15:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.6222222132 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 14:04 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.483950612 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 18:47 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.57 | $98.18 |
| 07-29 17:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.772999997 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 14:19 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.2933377793 | $8.80 |
| 07-29 14:04 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.3870967673 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 13:53 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.3953116044 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 13:46 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.52 | $20.80 |
| 07-29 13:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7519999892 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 11:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.65 | $23.21 |
| 07-29 02:12 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 00:07 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.69 | $26.34 |
| 07-28 20:11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.5237645748 | $20.00 |