PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

zrathree

0xe425ecabaf87ce4d61038137c72c69c533bd9e9a

Realised P&L
$-892.93
Volume
$94.1k
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$180.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.9300.665$66.16$26.37
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.125$33.38$52.06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9450.979$29.37+$1.02
Aligned FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9600.897$24.12$1.68
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.9200.875$17.50$0.90
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? · No0.9900.986$9.86$0.04
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? · No0.9810.000$0.00$19.62
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Iraq? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 12:28Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.99$9.90
08-03 12:27Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.92$18.40
07-30 02:51Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of July?BUY0.993$24.82
07-30 02:51Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of July?BUY0.992$9.92
07-30 02:50Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of July?BUY0.991$4.96
07-30 02:49Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.945$28.35
07-30 02:49Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.94$28.20
07-30 02:48Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.996$49.80
06-22 02:31Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.993$28.80
06-22 02:22Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?BUY0.981$19.62
06-22 01:31Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Iraq?BUY0.002$1.14
06-21 13:19Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Austria?BUY0.992$34.72
06-21 13:16Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Saudi Arabia?BUY0.98975$19.80
06-21 13:15Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.9$27.00
06-21 09:16Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.968$38.72