PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Elad991

0xe406d9c5edd27313539ab35e5ec4b3c6f7a919b0

Realised P&L
$-85.32
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$71.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.4700.525$22.34+$2.34
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026? · Yes0.0660.084$8.85+$1.84
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.4180.355$8.49$1.51
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1100.085$7.73$2.27
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$7.14$0.65
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2000.205$5.13+$0.13
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.1660.119$3.60$1.40
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026? · Yes0.1800.110$3.06$1.94
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0900.085$1.89$0.11
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0170.018$1.06+$0.06
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0340.035$1.01+$0.01
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0100.009$0.95$0.05
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0260.002$0.29$4.71
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? · No0.1590.000$0.00$10.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 07:27Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.1735137641$5.00
07-27 09:11Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?BUY0.0135782748$5.00
07-26 10:17Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
07-26 10:17Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.033999968$1.00
07-26 10:17Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0169999831$1.00
07-26 10:16Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.01$1.00
07-26 09:59Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.026$5.00
07-26 09:58Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.03$5.31
07-26 09:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETSELL0.98$7.20
07-26 09:37Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.6799999728$5.00
07-26 09:00Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.2$5.00
07-26 08:32Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?BUY0.0489999908$5.00
07-26 08:25Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?SELL0.0297713474$12.26
07-25 20:58Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?BUY0.0370000005$3.00
07-24 22:58Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.1199999808$5.00