Dallasd2
0xe3dcb8bd01000831f41ae7f42107b6befbe9769d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.74
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $14.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.998 | $14.96 | −$0.01 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.34 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 1? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.90at 0.900Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 28?
- +$0.89at 0.910Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 3?
- +$0.89at 0.910Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?
- +$0.89at 0.910Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on February 17?
- +$0.88at 0.910Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 07:01 | Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 07-28 05:33 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 07-05 00:00 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 07-02 16:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.97 |
| 06-25 13:24 | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $23.93 |
| 06-25 13:23 | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.95 |
| 06-25 12:13 | Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.96 |
| 06-18 21:04 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 55.5 and 56 million views on day 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.83 |
| 06-15 10:47 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.97 |
| 06-09 17:04 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.98 |
| 06-09 15:25 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $18.43 |
| 06-09 11:33 | Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7? | SELL | 0.995 | $18.91 |
| 06-06 19:01 | Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7? | BUY | 0.97 | $18.43 |
| 06-02 20:37 | Will "The Crash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 06-01 00:01 | Will "The Crash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.976 | $19.52 |