andy123
0xe3ad4e34608dbeb5e9545eebf22115ac8e22c74d
- Realised P&L
- $592.18
- Volume
- $78.4k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $334.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.855 | $264.62 | +$10.83 |
| Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.544 | 0.580 | $70.21 | +$4.34 |
| Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$144.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$503.23at 0.900Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$161.07at 0.967Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$120.00at 0.920Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$110.86at 0.940Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?
- +$85.00at 0.540Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 13:18 | Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5441301834 | $65.87 |
| 07-29 13:18 | Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $253.79 |
| 01-08 14:59 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 10-22 03:25 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | SELL | 0.796190022 | $32.56 |
| 09-27 17:13 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $60.00 |
| 09-27 17:11 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 17:07 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9679999996 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 17:06 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.9779999859 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 17:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 17:02 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 16:58 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9679999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 16:58 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 16:57 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.9779999859 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 16:57 | Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September? | BUY | 0.9990000009 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 16:55 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.998999951 | $20.00 |